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US Dollar off lows, back near 98.80

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of its major rivals, is sharply lower today, currently testing the 98.60 area.

US Dollar trims gains on US calendar

USD has been trading on a softer tone since the Asian trading hours amidst increasing risk aversion over another slump of Chinese equities.

In addition, disappointing results from the US docket today showed Retail Sales contracting 0.1% during December, while Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization have both come in short of expectations. On the bright side, however, Business Inventories and Consumer Sentiment gauged by the Reuters/Michigan index have surprised to the upside.

US Dollar significant levels

As of writing the US Dollar Index is down 0.36% at 98.75 with the immediate support at 98.36 (1-month uptrend) followed by 97.41 (100-day sma) and then 97.21 (50% Fibo of 93.82-100.60). On the flip side, a break above 99.73 (high Jan.6) would aim for 100.00 (psychological level) and finally 100.60 (2015 high Dec.3).

ECB: no change expected - TDS

Analyst at TD Securities noted the key events aheda and the ECB rate decision where they see no change in the main refinancing rate at 0.05% or the deposit rate of -0.03%.
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GBP: Uncertainties prevail, in both directions - UBS

The UBS analyst team changed their three-month GBP forecasts to reflect increased uncertainties weighing on sterling for the moment. UBS team, however, continues to expect a strong rebound of the pound over the 12-month horizon.
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